Weekly Review #269: The date AI will replace ATCOs

Picture of Vincent Lambercy
Posted by Vincent Lambercy
The easiest way to sell a pen today is to say it is powered by artificial intelligence (AI). That's because AI is everywhere. And ATM is no exception. As one of the presenters at the IFATCA ERM in Skopje recently said: "Like it or not, AI is coming." So, the question is: when will AI replace Air Traffic Controllers (ATCOs)?
 
The answer is complex. The impact of AI on Air Traffic Control (ATC) will not be as simple as directly replacing ATCOs with AI. The industry's culture will ensure that humans stay in the loop. Nobody will try to replace ATCOs directly. Instead, AI is likely to find its way into operations slowly. It will start with support functions getting AI assistants, and over time, we'll gain more knowledge and a better understanding of what is possible. 

Improved Medium Term Conflict Detection (MTCD)? Perhaps. Automated Controller-Pilot Data Link Communications (CPDLC) frequency changes? Maybe. It's hard to know at this stage. But a lot of possibilities exist.
 
What about hallucinations and unpredictable AI decisions? Well, there are ways to address these things. For example, adding an extra non-AI layer to validate what AI proposes. This ensures AI remains within certain limits and directs the ATCO's attention to what is going on. Many organisations, including EUROCONTROL, are working on AI. If you are interested in it, you can should take a look at the latest FlyAI Forum
 
AI is coming and the only constant in innovation is that its speed increases. Like it or not, it's important to inform yourself and be a part of the discussion.
 
On a completely different topic, a new episode of our Radar Contact podcast is available. Marita Lintener had a fascinating discussion with my colleague, Katarzyna, about future aviation professionals and the challenges of attracting and retaining them. This is just one of the topics they discussed, so be sure to listen to the full conversation.

Vincent
ANSP news
  • FAA launches aerospace rulemaking committee for space flight safety - Unmanned airspace- FAA ended Fiscal Year 2024 with a record 148 licensed commercial space operations, up more than 30 percent over the prior year. The FAA forecasts that number may more than double by FY 2028 and is launching an Aerospace Rulemaking Committee to update the FAA’s Part 450 launch and reentry licensing rule.
  • Isavia ANS implements Performance Based Navigation (PBN)- Isavia ANS has published a Transition Plan for Performance Based Navigation for Iceland, in the document PBN Transition plan for ICELAND. The document is published in accordance with the Icelandic regulation 444/2020 that implement EU Regulation 2018/1048. Design of standard enroute-, approach- and departure routes will be based on the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) instead of Non-Directional Beacons (NDBs). The Transition Plan was prepared in coordination with airspace users and airports and is updated every year in the fall.
  • NATS announces Clarity, a new way for airports to balance sustainability and operational demands- Currently in development, Clarity will allow airports to analyse and compare the carbon impact of different aspects of their operation and to understand the relative effectiveness of any future sustainability initiatives or investments. NATS believes the tool will help airports to best plan their route to net zero by providing detailed evidence of the value of a whole range of environmental initiatives.
  • AirNav Ireland Launches Sustainability Management Plan And Commits To Measures To Reduce Aviation Ca- Recent environmental initiative yielded an estimated 66,000 kilos of carbon savings following 30-day trial carried out by AirNav Ireland, Cork Airport, Aer Lingus and Ryanair.
  • Airservices Australia seeks community feedback on Hobart Airport flightpath changes- Airservices Australia is inviting the community to have their say on proposed flightpath changes at Hobart Airport. This follows Airservices’ assessment of two community suggested recommendations from the Hobart Airspace Review Post Implementation Review.
  • Morten Fruensgaard becomes new COO of Naviair- Naviair, the Danish air navigation service provider, announces the appointment of Morten Fruensgaard as its new Chief Operating Officer (COO). Fruensgaard brings a wealth of experience in the aviation industry and is set to lead Naviair's operational functions. His strategic vision and leadership skills will contribute to the company's continued success in ensuring safe and efficient air traffic management in Denmark.
  • 21st DANUBE FAB Social Consultation Forum- The 21st DANUBE FAB Social Consultation Forum took place online on 31 October 2024, bringing together representatives from BULATSA, ROMATSA, and their social partners. In light of the recent changes to the SES2+ legislation, DANUBE FAB and its social partners reaffirmed their commitment to cooperation, focusing on enhancing operational efficiency and resilience. Participants discussed current challenges, reviewed strategic initiatives, and emphasized their shared social priorities. This highlighted DANUBE FAB's dedication to an adaptive and collaborative approach in managing airspace in Eastern Europe.
  • Oro Navigacija Presents Lithuanian UTM System Ahead of Implementation- Oro Navigacija has showcased the Lithuanian UTM system in preparation for its upcoming implementation. The unveiling of this advanced technology marks a significant milestone in the field of unmanned traffic management. The Lithuanian UTM system promises to revolutionize the way drones navigate airspace, ensuring safety and efficiency in operations. With this groundbreaking development, Oro Navigacija is at the forefront of UTM innovation.

Airport news

Market news

Context information

  • Auckland Airport remains key economic generator for New Zealand – Airport World- Touch downs at Auckland Airport are driving up New Zealand’s economic fortunes with new aviation infrastructure set to bring tens of billions of dollars more benefit, according to an economic analysis by consultants EY. The airport’s chief customer officer, Scott Tasker, said the investment underway at Auckland Airport will be a key enabler of future growth right across New Zealand.
  • Advanced digital solutions sought for drone operations - Airservices- Airservices Australia is calling on innovative drone technology companies to help shape the future of aviation by delivering advanced digital solutions to drone operators to enhance safety, make it easier to access airspace, and foster industry growth. Uncrewed Aircraft Systems Service Suppliers are invited to submit a Request for Proposal (RFP) to collaborate with Airservices Australia in advancing digital platforms for the next generation of drone operations.
  • Papua New Guinea Renews Contract with Aireon for Space-Based ADS-B- Papua New Guinea has decided to renew its contract with Aireon for their space-based ADS-B technology, enhancing air traffic surveillance capabilities. This partnership is expected to improve air traffic management and safety in the region.
  • EASA Annual Safety Conference 2024: how technological innovation can help humans enhance aviation safety - This year’s EASA Annual Safety Conference took as its theme “Safety – technology – and the human dimension”, focusing on the critical importance of the well-trained human in keeping aviation operations safe, and on the parallel need to apply technology prudently to enhance aviation safety even further.
  • Understanding Resilience and Human Differences in Aviation Safety- This article discusses the importance of evaluating resilience and human variability in the context of aviation safety. It explores how understanding these factors can lead to improved safety measures and more effective risk management strategies within the aviation industry.

Research and innovation

  • SESAR Innovation Days 2024: A catalyst for ATM transformation- From 11-15 November, more than 600 leading European researchers, industry stakeholders, and policymakers gathered in Rome for the 14th SESAR Innovation Days (SIDs), the flagship event for air traffic management research and innovation in Europe. Hosted by Aeroporti di Roma, ENAV, and Leonardo and organised by the SESAR JU, the conference featured more than 37 posters, 54 technical papers, and a diverse range of sessions on topics including climate-optimised trajectories, innovative air mobility, digital flight rules and quantum computing.
  • ‘CLEAN ATM 2’ & ‘GREEN CNS’ awarded €141 million to accelerate modernisation of European sky - SESAR DM- Paloma Aba Garrote, Director of CINEA (the European Climate, Infrastructure and Environment Executive Agency), Mariagrazia La Piscopia, Executive Director of the SDM and Raúl Medina, Director General of EUROCONTROL and representing the Organisation in its role as SDM Consortium Coordinator, today celebrated the signature of two Grant Agreements awarding €141 million in total to the CLEAN ATM 2 and GREEN CNS projects.
  • SESAR partners advance dynamic airspace reconfiguration for safer, more efficient air mobility- SESAR JU partners recently conducted a series of technology validations focused on advancing dynamic airspace reconfiguration within the framework the ENSURE project. From November 6 to November 8, 2024, these tests took place at the CRIDA premises in Madrid, concentrating on developing DAR processes that will improve airspace management, particularly in complex airport environments.
  • Blockchain in Aviation- Aviation is a critical industry that forms the backbone of the global economy and transports millions of people safely every day. The industry’s top priority is to maintain the highest standards of flight safety and security at all times. However, with increasing digitalization and data flows, ensuring security poses a major challenge, especially in terms of information sharing and ensuring the accuracy of data. This is where blockchain technology stands out as an innovative solution that could revolutionize aviation safety.
  • White Paper: Enhancing E-AMAN with Space-Based ADS-B - Aireon - The aviation community is facing complex challenges: surging air traffic, the imperative for efficiency, sustainability, and safety. ICAO, SESAR, and other initiatives drive modernization, having yielded many practical solutions ready for deployment. At major airports, tools like the Arrival Manager are enhancing operations, yet traditional AMAN systems encounter limitations for example, if input data is insufficiently available to enable extended planning. Enter the Frequentis Extended Arrival Manager leveraging AireonFLOW — a global, high-fidelity, low-latency position data source.
  • EASA grants STC to Aerodata for anti-jamming anti-spoofing system - Unmanned airspace- Aerodata AG has been granted a Supplemental Type Certificate by EASA for its GPS anti-jamming and anti-spoofing system. This certification applies to installations integrated with Garmin 5000 avionics in a Cessna Citation Latitude jet.

Reports and data

UAV and UTM